David Goffin vs Alex MolcanBergamo CH Quarter-final

Bergamo CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#251ATP
1665ELO
1626Hard ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 October 2023
hard
#101ATP
1742ELO
1653Hard ELO
$295kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Goffin D.
7-5 6-2
Molcan A.
Goffin D.
762
Molcan A.
520

David Goffin defeated Alex Molcan 7-5 6-2 in the Bergamo CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex Molcan came in ranked #101. David Goffin extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: David Goffin closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-04-04MarrakechFclayDavid Goffin3-6 6-3 6-3
2022-01-03MelbourneR16hardAlex Molcan7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Goffin D.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Molcan A.

Molcan A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Goffin D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
2.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (184 vs 144). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
82
79
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
90
Break points won·Even
64
61
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
81
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1626
Surface ELO
5.3+27 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1742
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.1
Surface form
5.9
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
6.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Molcan A.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast