Lucas Gerch vs Stefan Kozlov — Charlottesville CH Round of 32

Charlottesville CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
GER
Lucas Gerch
#941ATP
31 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 October 2023
hard
Stefan Kozlov
USA
Stefan Kozlov
#296ATP
1429ELO
1408Hard ELO
28 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
Gerch L.
6-2 5-7 7-6
Kozlov S.
Gerch L.
65772
Kozlov S.
27651

Lucas Gerch defeated Stefan Kozlov 6-2 5-7 7-6 in the Charlottesville CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Stefan Kozlov came in ranked #296, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

  • Match story: Lucas Gerch closed it out in three sets, 6–2 5–7 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Gerch L.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kozlov S.

Kozlov S.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gerch L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Gerch L.Kozlov S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
40%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.3
Double faults / match·Even
4.0
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (61 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Gerch L.Kozlov S.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
36
Break points saved·Clear edge
27
49
Break points won·Slight edge
11
20
Deciding sets·Dominant
18
85
Tiebreaks·Even
32
30

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gerch L.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Kozlov S.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
5.2
Surface form
3.5
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Gerch L.Kozlov S.
Freshness·
—
69

Kozlov S.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Final
Zhukayev B.
Mayo A.
6-36-4
Semi-finals
Zhukayev B.
Kypson P.
6-47-64
Mayo A.
Quinn E.
3-66-46-3
Quarter-finals
Kypson P.
Holt B.
6-16-4
Quinn E.
Paire B.[3]
7-656-2
Mayo A.
Ritschard A.
6-36-4
Zhukayev B.
Serdarusic N.
6-36-4
R16
Paire B.[3]
Gerch L.
W/O
Mayo A.
Opelka R.
W/O
Holt B.
Kingsley C.
6-46-4
Ritschard A.
Mmoh M.[1]
6-37-65
Zhukayev B.
Montes De La Torre I.
6-47-68
Quinn E.
Nava E.[5]
6-36-1
Kypson P.
Kudla D.[7]
6-16-3
Serdarusic N.
Damm M.
7-653-66-1
R32
Zhukayev B.
Kwiatkowski T.
4-67-637-63
Montes De La Torre I.
Walton A.[6]
6-23-67-64
Quinn E.
Krueger M.
3-67-626-4
Gerch L.
Kozlov S.
6-25-77-65
Opelka R.
Sandgren T.[8]
6-47-5
Ritschard A.
Mchugh A.
6-46-4
Kingsley C.
Michelsen A.[2]
7-56-3
Mayo A.
Ayeni O.
7-56-2
Paire B.[3]
King D.
7-636-2
Mmoh M.[1]
Johnson S.
7-667-5
Kudla D.[7]
Rodesch C.
7-656-1
Serdarusic N.
Spizzirri E.
6-12-66-4
Damm M.
Svajda Z.[4]
2-66-37-63
Holt B.
Gomez E.
6-26-2
Kypson P.
Debru G.
6-47-5
Nava E.[5]
Tomic B.
2-67-617-5