Brandon Nakashima vs Fabio FogniniBergamo CH Quarter-final

Bergamo CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#32ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 October 2023
hard
39 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWL
Nakashima B.
6-1 7-5
Fognini F.
Nakashima B.
672
Fognini F.
150

Brandon Nakashima defeated Fabio Fognini 6-1 7-5 in the Bergamo CH quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in leading the head-to-head 2–0. Brandon Nakashima extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Brandon Nakashima came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-01-10SydneyR16hardBrandon Nakashima7-6(7) 7-6(6)
2021-09-27San DiegoR32hardBrandon Nakashima6-7(5) 6-1 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Fognini F.

Fognini F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve advantage — Nakashima B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Fognini F.
61
Serve
23
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 133). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
87
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
93
Break points won·Dominant
13
81
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
93
Tiebreaks·Even
89
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.1
Surface form
0.7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
7.3
4.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Nakashima B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast