Hubert Hurkacz vs Francisco CerundoloParis Masters Round of 16

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#68ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 October 2023
hard
#22ATP
1931ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Hurkacz H.
6-4 6-3
Cerundolo F.
Hurkacz H.
662
Cerundolo F.
430

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Francisco Cerundolo 6-4 6-3 in the Paris Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #22, defending last year's round of 64. Hubert Hurkacz extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-03AstanaR32hardHubert Hurkacz6-2 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Hurkacz H.Cerundolo F.
67
Serve
13
0
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
13.7
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (174 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
88
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
40
86
Deciding sets·Even
94
94
Tiebreaks·Even
97
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1727
Surface ELO
6.7+154 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1931
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.8
Surface form
3.7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
2.7
Minutes 14d
7.8
0.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.5
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
81
98

Hurkacz H.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Cerundolo F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
12°CDrizzle
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 92%