Dominic Stricker vs Casper RuudBasel Round of 16

Basel · ATP · Round of 16
#343ATP
1533ELO
1509Hard ELO
23 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 October 2023
hard
#12ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Stricker D.
6-4 3-6 7-6
Ruud C.
Stricker D.
63772
Ruud C.
46611

Dominic Stricker defeated Casper Ruud 6-4 3-6 7-6 in the Basel round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #12, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Dominic Stricker claimed a first win over Casper Ruud in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-14GstaadR16clayCasper Ruud7-5 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Stricker D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Ruud C.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Stricker D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Stricker D.Ruud C.
Serve
59
Return
31

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.0
5.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (127 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
91
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
99
Break points won·Dominant
9
75
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
74
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.6Hard Elo 1509
Surface ELO
9.4+380 Hard Elo edge
0.2Overall Elo 1533
ELO gap
9.8Overall Elo 1983
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.9
Surface form
5.9
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
8.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
97

Stricker D.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Ruud C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast