Holger Rune vs Miomir KecmanovicBasel Round of 32

Basel · ATP · Round of 32
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 October 2023
hard
#50ATP
1768ELO
1709Hard ELO
$756kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWWWW
Rune H.
1-6 7-5 6-3
Kecmanovic M.
Rune H.
1762
Kecmanovic M.
6531

Holger Rune defeated Miomir Kecmanovic 1-6 7-5 6-3 in the Basel round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Holger Rune came in leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's final. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-31Davis Cup QLS R1: SRB vs DENRRhardHolger Rune6-2 6-4
2025-01-13Australian OpenR32hardHolger Rune6-7(5) 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4
2023-10-16StockholmR16hardMiomir Kecmanovic7-6(3) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Kecmanovic M.

Kecmanovic M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Kecmanovic M.
47
Serve
34
58
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.8
4.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (186 vs 193). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
66
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Clear edge
84
67
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
56
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+16 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1709
5.8Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1768
0.0
H2H
10.0
2.5
Surface form
6.2
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
6.7
8.0
Prev. match
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Kecmanovic M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast