Grigor Dimitrov vs Lorenzo MusettiVienna Round of 32

Vienna · ATP · Round of 32
#146ATP
1744ELO
1736Hard ELO
$307kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 October 2023
hard
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Dimitrov G.
6-3 6-4
Musetti L.
Dimitrov G.
662
Musetti L.
340

Grigor Dimitrov defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 6-4 in the Vienna round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, but Grigor Dimitrov had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Grigor Dimitrov extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-30Paris MastersR64hardGrigor Dimitrov6-2 6-7(4) 6-3
2021-03-15AcapulcoQFhardLorenzo Musetti6-4 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Dimitrov G.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Dimitrov G.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Dimitrov G.Musetti L.
Serve
54
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (167 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
89
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Clear edge
66
82
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
96
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1736
Surface ELO
6.9+68 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1744
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1869
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.8
Surface form
4.4
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
64

Dimitrov G.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 66%