Jasmine Paolini vs Petra MarcinkoMonastir Round of 16

Monastir · WTA · Round of 16
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 October 2023
hard
#47WTA
1745ELO
1639Hard ELO
$468kYTD
$956kCAREER
20 yrs · 176 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
Paolini J.
6-4 3-6 6-2
Marcinko P.
Paolini J.
6362
Marcinko P.
4621

Jasmine Paolini defeated Petra Marcinko 6-4 3-6 6-2 in the Monastir round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17.

Key context

  • Match story: Jasmine Paolini closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Marcinko P.

Marcinko P.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Marcinko P.
31
Serve
55
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 112). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
72
Break points saved·Dominant
87
54
Break points won·Even
99
95
Deciding sets·Even
97
93
Tiebreaks·
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
3.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 186 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
8.5+233 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Hard Elo 1639
8.2Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1745
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
1.3
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
67
81

Paolini J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Marcinko P.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast