Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Lorenzo GiustinoShenzhen CH Quarter-final

Shenzhen CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 October 2023
hard
#196ATP
1420ELO
1426Hard ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Kovacevic A.
6-3 3-6 6-3
Giustino L.
Kovacevic A.
6362
Giustino L.
3631

Aleksandar Kovacevic defeated Lorenzo Giustino 6-3 3-6 6-3 in the Shenzhen CH quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aleksandar Kovacevic came in ranked #70.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kovacevic A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Giustino L.

Giustino L.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kovacevic A.Giustino L.
54
Serve
0
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.3
3.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 162). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
53
2
Break points saved·Dominant
96
41
Break points won·Slight edge
4
12
Deciding sets·Dominant
81
12
Tiebreaks·Dominant
60
26

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+186 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1426
7.1Overall Elo 1636
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1420
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.6
Surface form
2.6
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
0.4
Minutes 14d
7.3
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
51

Kovacevic A.: 15 days rest · Giustino L.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 120 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast