Flavio Cobolli vs Emilio NavaOlbia CH Round of 32

Olbia CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#9ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 October 2023
hard
#91ATP
1704ELO
1621Hard ELO
$533kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWWW
Cobolli F.
6-2 6-7 6-3
Nava E.
Cobolli F.
66762
Nava E.
27931

Flavio Cobolli defeated Emilio Nava 6-2 6-7 6-3 in the Olbia CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Flavio Cobolli extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Flavio Cobolli closed it out in three sets, 6–2 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-08Rome MastersQ2clayFlavio Cobolli4-6 7-6(4) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Cobolli F.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Nava E.

Nava E.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cobolli F.Nava E.
20
Serve
40
35
Return
16

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.1
7.7
Double faults / match·Even
3.1
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
52
Break points saved·Even
96
94
Break points won·Clear edge
35
17
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
23

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+189 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1621
7.4Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1704
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
6.9
Fatigue & Travel
2.2
Minutes 14d
4.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
71
100

Cobolli F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Nava E.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast