Jasmine Paolini vs Lucia BronzettiMonastir Quarter-final

Monastir · WTA · Quarter-final
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 October 2023
hard
#139WTA
1622ELO
1551Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Paolini J.
7-5 7-6
Bronzetti L.
Paolini J.
7772
Bronzetti L.
5630

Jasmine Paolini defeated Lucia Bronzetti 7-5 7-6 in the Monastir quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15. Jasmine Paolini claimed a first win over Lucia Bronzetti in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-07-18PalermoSFclayLucia Bronzetti0-6 6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Bronzetti L.

Bronzetti L.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Bronzetti L.
31
Serve
12
55
Return
14

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.4
1.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 194). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
74
Break points won·Clear edge
99
84
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
60
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
48

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.7+322 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.3Hard Elo 1551
9.9Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
0.1Overall Elo 1622
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
5.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
1.3
Minutes 14d
7.9
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
100

Paolini J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Bronzetti L.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast