Jessica Pegula vs Yue YuanSeoul Final

Seoul · WTA · Final
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 October 2023
hard
#120WTA
1629ELO
1610Hard ELO
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWL
Pegula J.
6-2 6-3
Yuan Y.
Pegula J.
662
Yuan Y.
230

Jessica Pegula defeated Yue Yuan 6-2 6-3 in the Seoul final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-29US OpenR32hardJessica Pegula6-2 6-7(6) 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Yuan Y.

Yuan Y.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Yuan Y.
68
Serve
30
73
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 169). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
64
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
81
Break points won·Clear edge
99
77
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
60
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+448 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1610
10.0Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1629
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
3.4
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.1
Minutes 14d
5.8
7.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
83

Pegula J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast