Jasmine Paolini vs Laura SiegemundZhengzhou Quarter-final

Zhengzhou · WTA · Quarter-final
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 October 2023
hard
#40WTA
1769ELO
1713Hard ELO
$736kYTD
$8.8MCAREER
38 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLWL
Paolini J.
6-0 7-5
Siegemund L.
Paolini J.
672
Siegemund L.
050

Jasmine Paolini defeated Laura Siegemund 6-0 7-5 in the Zhengzhou quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Jasmine Paolini extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridR64clayJasmine Paolini3-6 6-2 6-4
2019-07-22PalermoR32clayJasmine Paolini6-1 6-4
2018-07-16BucharestR32clayLaura Siegemund6-4 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Siegemund L.

Siegemund L.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Siegemund L.
31
Serve
11
55
Return
46

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Even
1.4
0.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 148). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
64
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
80
Break points won·Slight edge
99
89
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
76
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 77 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
7.2+159 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Hard Elo 1713
7.1Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1769
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
3.9
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
98

Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Siegemund L.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast