Federico Coria vs Jan ChoinskiBuenos Aires CH Quarter-final

Buenos Aires CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#889ATP
1537ELO
1515Clay ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 October 2023
clay
#100ATP
1686ELO
1652Clay ELO
$204kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
Coria F.
5-7 7-6 6-3
Choinski J.
Coria F.
57762
Choinski J.
76331

Federico Coria defeated Jan Choinski 5-7 7-6 6-3 in the Buenos Aires CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jan Choinski came in ranked #100.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Coria F.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Choinski J.

Choinski J.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Coria F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Even
58%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (188 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
71
90
Break points won·Dominant
72
20
Deciding sets·Slight edge
78
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
76
41

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1515
Surface ELO
5.4+137 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1686
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.0
Surface form
5.4
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
5.8
4.0
3-set count
0.0
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
82
57

Coria F.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Choinski J.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast