Mattia Bellucci vs Roberto Carballes BaenaMalaga CH Round of 32

Malaga CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#80ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 October 2023
hard
#165ATP
1632ELO
1592Hard ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
Bellucci M.
4-6 6-3 6-2
Carballes Baena R.
Bellucci M.
4662
Carballes Baena R.
6321

Mattia Bellucci defeated Roberto Carballes Baena 4-6 6-3 6-2 in the Malaga CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Mattia Bellucci came in ranked #80.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bellucci M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Carballes Baena R.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bellucci M.Carballes Baena R.
0
Serve
40
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
2.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 189). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
60
61
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Dominant
10
58
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
85
50

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+85 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1592
5.7Overall Elo 1720
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1632
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
1.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.6
Minutes 14d
7.8
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
93

Bellucci M.: 21 days rest · Carballes Baena R.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 12 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast