Billy Harris vs Roberto Bautista AgutMalaga CH Round of 16

Malaga CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#154ATP
1508ELO
1473Hard ELO
$236kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
31 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 October 2023
hard
#180ATP
1700ELO
1668Hard ELO
$430kYTD
$20MCAREER
38 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWL
Harris B.
7-5 6-4
Bautista Agut R.
Harris B.
762
Bautista Agut R.
540

Billy Harris defeated Roberto Bautista Agut 7-5 6-4 in the Malaga CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Roberto Bautista Agut came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Billy Harris claimed a first win over Roberto Bautista Agut in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-26BeijingQ1hardRoberto Bautista Agut5-7 7-6(5) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Harris B.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bautista Agut R.

Bautista Agut R.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Harris B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Harris B.Bautista Agut R.
Serve
23
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.9
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 166). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
47
85
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
98
Break points won·Dominant
10
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
82
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
23
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 84 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1473
Surface ELO
7.7+195 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1508
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1700
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
3.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
100

Harris B.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bautista Agut R.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast