Ben Shelton vs Jannik SinnerShanghai Masters Round of 16

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#5ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Shelton B.
2-6 6-3 7-6
Sinner J.
Shelton B.
26772
Sinner J.
63651

Ben Shelton defeated Jannik Sinner 2-6 6-3 7-6 in the Shanghai Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 9–0. Ben Shelton claimed a first win over Jannik Sinner in ten meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 9–1.

Key context

Head to head

09
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenQFhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-4 6-4
2025-11-09Tour FinalsRRhardJannik Sinner6-3 7-6(3)
2025-10-27Paris MastersQFhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-3
2025-06-30WimbledonQFgrassJannik Sinner7-6(2) 6-4 6-4
2025-01-13Australian OpenSFhardJannik Sinner7-6(2) 6-2 6-2
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR16hardJannik Sinner6-4 7-6(1)
2024-07-01WimbledonR16grassJannik Sinner6-2 6-4 7-6(9)
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersR16hardJannik Sinner7-6(4) 6-1
2023-10-23ViennaR32hardJannik Sinner7-6(2) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Shelton B.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Sinner J.serving96% hold

wins 77% of points on serve vs Shelton B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shelton B.Sinner J.
75
Serve
100
18
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
58%
Service points won·Even
68%
71%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
41%
Break points saved·Even
70%
73%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.9
7.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
86
100
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
58
100
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Even
97
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
8.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.8Hard Elo 1922
Surface ELO
9.2+342 Hard Elo edge
0.6Overall Elo 1960
ELO gap
9.4Overall Elo 2320
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.2
Surface form
9.1
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
3.7
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
92
53

Shelton B.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 51%