Yosuke Watanuki vs Juncheng ShangShanghai Masters Round of 128

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#305ATP
1541ELO
1531Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
#274ATP
1746ELO
1698Hard ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWW
Watanuki Y.
7-6 4-6 6-4
Shang J.
Watanuki Y.
79462
Shang J.
67641

Yosuke Watanuki defeated Juncheng Shang 7-6 4-6 6-4 in the Shanghai Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Juncheng Shang came in ranked #274, leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Yosuke Watanuki had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Yosuke Watanuki claimed a first win over Juncheng Shang in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersQ1hardJuncheng Shang7-6(1) 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Watanuki Y.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Shang J.

Shang J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Watanuki Y.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Watanuki Y.Shang J.
Serve
34
Return
18

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.1
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (150 vs 143). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
52
76
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
96
Break points won·Dominant
20
45
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
81
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1531
Surface ELO
6.7+168 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1541
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1746
5.4
H2H
4.6
8.1
Surface form
4.6
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Watanuki Y.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 51%