Tommy Paul vs Sebastian OfnerShanghai Masters Round of 64

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
#110ATP
1713ELO
1655Hard ELO
$345kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
Paul T.
6-3 6-0
Ofner S.
Paul T.
662
Ofner S.
300

Tommy Paul defeated Sebastian Ofner 6-3 6-0 in the Shanghai Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25. Tommy Paul claimed a first win over Sebastian Ofner in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR64grassSebastian Ofner1-6 7-5 6-4 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Ofner S.

Ofner S.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Ofner S.
71
Serve
54
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.2
7.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
70
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
93
Break points won·Dominant
87
43
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
82
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+226 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1655
7.8Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1713
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
4.3
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
6.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
69

Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Ofner S.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 51%