Zhizhen Zhang vs Brandon NakashimaShanghai Masters Round of 32

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#156ATP
1682ELO
1642Hard ELO
$546kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
#32ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Zhang Z.
7-6 6-2
Nakashima B.
Zhang Z.
7762
Nakashima B.
6220

Zhizhen Zhang defeated Brandon Nakashima 7-6 6-2 in the Shanghai Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #32.

Key context

  • Match story: Zhizhen Zhang closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Zhang Z.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Zhang Z.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zhang Z.Nakashima B.
24
Serve
61
0
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.1
8.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
56
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
99
Break points won·Even
14
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
39
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1642
Surface ELO
6.5+146 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1682
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1839
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
2.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.1
Prev. match
8.0
5.1
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
86
90

Zhang Z.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Nakashima B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 51%