Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana MariaBeijing Round of 32

Beijing · WTA · Round of 32
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
#96WTA
1703ELO
1608Hard ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWWW
Rybakina E.
7-5 6-0
Maria T.
Rybakina E.
762
Maria T.
500

Elena Rybakina defeated Tatjana Maria 7-5 6-0 in the Beijing round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-12LondonR16grassElena Rybakina6.4-7.7 7-5 6-0
2025-06-09Queen's ClubQFgrassTatjana Maria6-4 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Maria T.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Maria T.
100
Serve
9
34
Return
13

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Clear edge
64%
50%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.9
3.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 195). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
92
13
Break points saved·Dominant
98
31
Break points won·Clear edge
96
78
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
9
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 49 days (−1.0)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+502 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1608
10.0Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1703
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
5.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.3
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
89
71

Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Maria T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw