Thai Son Kwiatkowski vs Alex MichelsenTiburon CH Round of 16

Tiburon CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#1589ATP
31 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
Kwiatkowski T.
4-6 6-4 6-3
Michelsen A.
Kwiatkowski T.
4662
Michelsen A.
6431

Thai Son Kwiatkowski defeated Alex Michelsen 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the Tiburon CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kwiatkowski T.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Michelsen A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Kwiatkowski T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kwiatkowski T.Michelsen A.
Serve
34
Return
46

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
59%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.3
5.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (83 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
5
78
Break points saved·Dominant
65
98
Break points won·Dominant
6
46
Deciding sets·Dominant
1
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
26
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
6.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
70

Michelsen A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast