Sebastian Korda vs Daniil MedvedevShanghai Masters Round of 32

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Korda S.
7-6 6-2
Medvedev D.
Korda S.
71062
Medvedev D.
6820

Sebastian Korda defeated Daniil Medvedev 7-6 6-2 in the Shanghai Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Sebastian Korda narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR32clayDaniil Medvedev5-7 7-6(4) 6-3
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardDaniil Medvedev6-4 5-7 6-3
2023-01-16Australian OpenR32hardSebastian Korda7-6(7) 6-3 7-6(4)
2021-11-01Paris MastersR16hardDaniil Medvedev4-6 6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korda S.Medvedev D.
61
Serve
47
58
Return
94

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.8
7.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (155 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
96
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Dominant
73
99
Deciding sets·Even
96
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8Hard Elo 1765
Surface ELO
6.2+197 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1977
5.4
H2H
4.6
7.3
Surface form
7.4
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
4.7
0.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
82

Medvedev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 51%