Hubert Hurkacz vs Fabian MarozsanShanghai Masters Quarter-final

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#96ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
#53ATP
1784ELO
1747Hard ELO
$728kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLL
Hurkacz H.
4-6 6-1 6-3
Marozsan F.
Hurkacz H.
4662
Marozsan F.
6131

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Fabian Marozsan 4-6 6-1 6-3 in the Shanghai Masters quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Fabian Marozsan came in ranked #53, but Hubert Hurkacz had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Hubert Hurkacz extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersR32clayHubert Hurkacz6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Marozsan F.

Marozsan F.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Hurkacz H.Marozsan F.
67
Serve
31
0
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
13.6
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (174 vs 194). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
71
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Even
40
36
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
82
Tiebreaks·Even
97
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1727
Surface ELO
5.2+20 Hard Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1784
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
2.5
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.3
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
94

Hurkacz H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d) · Marozsan F.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 51%