Varvara Gracheva vs Anastasia PotapovaBeijing Round of 64

Beijing · WTA · Round of 64
#88WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
#28WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
Gracheva V.
6-2 3-6 6-1
Potapova A.
Gracheva V.
6362
Potapova A.
2611

Varvara Gracheva defeated Anastasia Potapova 6-2 3-6 6-1 in the Beijing round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Anastasia Potapova came in ranked #28, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Varvara Gracheva claimed a first win over Anastasia Potapova in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-07-18HamburgR32clayAnastasia Potapova7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Gracheva V.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Potapova A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gracheva V.Potapova A.
3
Serve
11
27
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (192 vs 164). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
74
81
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
89
Break points won·Even
87
88
Deciding sets·Slight edge
90
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
65
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1763
Surface ELO
5.3+41 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1810
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1904
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.9
Surface form
4.8
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
8.9
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Potapova A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw