Cristian Garin vs Aleksandar KovacevicShanghai Masters Round of 128

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#125ATP
1667ELO
1572Hard ELO
$365kYTD
$7.0MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
Garin C.
6-4 7-6
Kovacevic A.
Garin C.
67122
Kovacevic A.
46100

Cristian Garin defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-4 7-6 in the Shanghai Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aleksandar Kovacevic came in ranked #70.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Garin C.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Kovacevic A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Garin C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Garin C.Kovacevic A.
Serve
52
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
34%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
9.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
63
53
Break points saved·Even
94
96
Break points won·Dominant
45
4
Deciding sets·Even
83
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
43
61

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1572
Surface ELO
5.3+39 Hard Elo edge
5.8Overall Elo 1667
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1636
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
5.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
9.2
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Kovacevic A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 51%