Sebastian Korda vs Francisco CerundoloShanghai Masters Round of 16

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
#22ATP
1931ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Korda S.
7-5 7-6
Cerundolo F.
Korda S.
7782
Cerundolo F.
5660

Sebastian Korda defeated Francisco Cerundolo 7-5 7-6 in the Shanghai Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #22.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korda S.Cerundolo F.
61
Serve
13
58
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.8
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (155 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
88
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Clear edge
73
86
Deciding sets·Even
96
94
Tiebreaks·Even
94
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1Hard Elo 1765
Surface ELO
4.9+115 Hard Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1931
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.3
Surface form
5.4
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Cerundolo F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 51%