Thiago Monteiro vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliCampinas CH Final

Campinas CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#290ATP
1568ELO
1554Clay ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
clay
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Monteiro T.
3-6 6-4 6-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Monteiro T.
3662
Ugo Carabelli C.
6441

Thiago Monteiro defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 3-6 6-4 6-4 in the Campinas CH final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58, leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Thiago Monteiro had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Thiago Monteiro claimed a first win over Camilo Ugo Carabelli in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24SantiagoR16clayCamilo Ugo Carabelli4-6 7-6(2) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Monteiro T.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Monteiro T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Monteiro T.Ugo Carabelli C.
Serve
24
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Even
61%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
2.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
90
Break points won·Dominant
16
62
Deciding sets·Dominant
66
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
89
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Clay Elo 1554
Surface ELO
7.3+187 Clay Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1568
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
8.4
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
4.6
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
64
100

Monteiro T.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 67 games (7d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast