Elias Ymer vs Mattia BellucciAlicante CH Round of 16

Alicante CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#183ATP
1548ELO
1492Clay ELO
$191kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
clay
#80ATP
1720ELO
1610Clay ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Ymer E.
3-6 7-6 6-3
Bellucci M.
Ymer E.
37762
Bellucci M.
66531

Elias Ymer defeated Mattia Bellucci 3-6 7-6 6-3 in the Alicante CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Mattia Bellucci came in ranked #80.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ymer E.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Ymer E.

Serve advantage — Bellucci M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.7
6.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
48
60
Break points saved·Clear edge
83
96
Break points won·Clear edge
23
10
Deciding sets·Even
78
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
35
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Clay Elo 1492
Surface ELO
5.7+118 Clay Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1548
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1720
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
2.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
6.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Ymer E.: 20 days rest · Bellucci M.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast