Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Zdenek KolarLisbon CH Round of 32

Lisbon CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#203ATP
1476ELO
1438Clay ELO
20 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
clay
#153ATP
1506ELO
1485Clay ELO
$121kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLL
Bailly G.
6-4 6-3
Kolar Z.
Bailly G.
662
Kolar Z.
430

Gilles Arnaud Bailly defeated Zdenek Kolar 6-4 6-3 in the Lisbon CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Zdenek Kolar came in ranked #153, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bailly G.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Kolar Z.

Kolar Z.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Bailly G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Even
1.7
2.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (54 vs 194). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1438
Surface ELO
5.4+46 Clay Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1476
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1506
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.0
Surface form
2.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
66
90

Bailly G.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Kolar Z.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast