Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Baez — Shanghai Masters Round of 32

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 32
Jannik Sinner
ITA6
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
Sebastian Baez
ARG25
Sebastian Baez
#57ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Sinner J.
3-6 6-3 6-2
Baez S.
Sinner J.
3662
Baez S.
6321

Jannik Sinner defeated Sebastian Baez 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the Shanghai Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-21Davis Cup Finals QF: ITA vs ARGRRhardJannik Sinner6-2 6-1
2024-01-15Australian OpenR32hardJannik Sinner6-0 6-1 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Baez S.
100
Serve
5
100
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sinner J.Baez S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
72%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
79%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
74%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.4
2.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sinner J.Baez S.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
87
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Clear edge
100
86
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sinner J.
8.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Baez S.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+555 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1709
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
9.1
Surface form
6.4
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.7
Minutes 14d
9.1
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
2.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sinner J.Baez S.
Freshness·Dominant
53
94

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d) · Baez S.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 51%
Final
Hurkacz H.[16]
Rublev A.[5]
6-33-67-68
Semi-finals
Rublev A.[5]
Dimitrov G.[18]
7-676-3
Hurkacz H.[16]
Korda S.[26]
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Korda S.[26]
Shelton B.[19]
6-7106-27-66
Dimitrov G.[18]
Jarry N.[22]
7-626-4
Rublev A.[5]
Humbert U.[32]
6-26-3
Hurkacz H.[16]
Marozsan F.
4-66-16-3
R16
Humbert U.[32]
Wolf J.
6-16-2
Hurkacz H.[16]
Zhang Z.
7-664-67-64
Korda S.[26]
Cerundolo F.[20]
7-57-66
Shelton B.[19]
Sinner J.[6]
2-66-37-65
Dimitrov G.[18]
Alcaraz C.[1]
5-76-26-4
Jarry N.[22]
Schwartzman D.
6-35-76-3
Rublev A.[5]
Paul T.[12]
7-57-5
Marozsan F.
Ruud C.[8]
7-633-66-4
R32
Dimitrov G.[18]
Khachanov K.[13]
7-666-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Evans D.[30]
7-616-4
Jarry N.[22]
Sonego L.
7-646-2
Schwartzman D.
Fritz T.[7]
6-43-67-65
Humbert U.[32]
Tsitsipas S.[4]
6-43-67-5
Wolf J.
Arnaldi M.
2-66-37-64
Paul T.[12]
Fils A.
6-46-776-4
Rublev A.[5]
Mannarino A.[31]
6-36-0
Ruud C.[8]
Eubanks C.[29]
6-46-2
Marozsan F.
Lajovic D.
6-36-3
Hurkacz H.[16]
Hsu Y.
6-46-4
Zhang Z.
Nakashima B.
7-626-2
Sinner J.[6]
Baez S.[25]
3-66-36-2
Shelton B.[19]
Safiullin R.
3-66-36-4
Cerundolo F.[20]
Fucsovics M.
3-66-47-5
Korda S.[26]
Medvedev D.[2]
7-686-2
R64
Evans D.[30]
Kukushkin M.
6-23-0
Khachanov K.[13]
Zhukayev B.
7-614-66-2
Mannarino A.[31]
Tseng C.
6-26-2
Lajovic D.
Griekspoor T.[23]
6-43-2
Zhang Z.
Etcheverry T.[28]
4-66-36-4
Nakashima B.
Rune H.[3]
6-06-2
Cerundolo F.[20]
Mcdonald M.
7-647-65
Korda S.[26]
Yunchaokete B.
6-16-4
Humbert U.[32]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-41-66-2
Dimitrov G.[18]
Vukic A.
6-46-3
Sonego L.
Tiafoe F.[10]
2-66-26-3
Jarry N.[22]
Atmane T.
7-56-2
Schwartzman D.
Lehecka J.[27]
6-43-66-2
Fritz T.[7]
Watanuki Y.
7-626-766-4
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Hijikata R.
6-46-2
Arnaldi M.
Struff J.[21]
6-33-66-4
Wolf J.
Norrie C.[15]
6-35-77-64
Paul T.[12]
Ofner S.
6-36-0
Rublev A.[5]
Halys Q.
6-47-5
Ruud C.[8]
Nishioka Y.
7-56-0
Eubanks C.[29]
Hanfmann Y.
4-66-36-2
Marozsan F.
De Minaur A.[11]
6-37-5
Hsu Y.
Musetti L.[17]
6-36-4
Sinner J.[6]
Giron M.
7-676-2
Baez S.[25]
Sweeny D.
6-26-4
Shelton B.[19]
Munar J.
6-46-4
Safiullin R.
Zverev A.[9]
6-36-1
Fucsovics M.
Auger Aliassime F.[14]
7-634-66-3
Medvedev D.[2]
Garin C.
6-36-3
Hurkacz H.[16]
Kokkinakis T.
7-656-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Barrere G.
6-27-5
Fils A.
Davidovich Fokina A.[24]
6-27-5
R128
Ofner S.
Varillas J.
7-637-66
Yunchaokete B.
Kecmanovic M.
6-766-22-1
Fucsovics M.
Yevseyev D.
6-46-2
Hijikata R.
Djere L.
7-647-5
Atmane T.
Thompson J.
6-33-66-1
Barrere G.
Borges N.
6-26-2
Kukushkin M.
Muller A.
6-766-36-2
Vukic A.
Carballes Baena R.
6-47-67
Zhukayev B.
Napolitano S.
7-57-5
Schwartzman D.
Van Assche L.
5-76-36-2
Watanuki Y.
Shang J.
7-674-66-4
Arnaldi M.
Popyrin A.
4-66-36-4
Wolf J.
Cachin P.
3-66-36-4
Fils A.
Kotov P.
6-16-4
Halys Q.
Karatsev A.
7-643-66-2
Nishioka Y.
Altmaier D.
6-43-67-62
Hanfmann Y.
Duckworth J.
6-46-7106-3
Lajovic D.
Wawrinka S.
6-47-67
Marozsan F.
Rinderknech A.
7-666-2
Kokkinakis T.
Fognini F.
6-26-4
Hsu Y.
Purcell M.
7-654-66-4
Zhang Z.
Gasquet R.
6-16-2
Nakashima B.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-17-63
Sweeny D.
Daniel T.
6-26-3
Safiullin R.
Murray A.
6-36-2
Garin C.
Kovacevic A.
6-47-610
Sonego L.
Sekulic P.
6-36-2
Mcdonald M.
Moutet C.
6-26-3
Van De Zandschulp B.
Oconnell C.
6-26-726-4
Munar J.
Te R.
6-26-4
Tseng C.
Shevchenko A.
3-66-36-2
Giron M.
Galan D.
6-46-2