J J Wolf vs Matteo ArnaldiShanghai Masters Round of 32

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 32
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
#35ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Wolf J.
2-6 6-3 7-6
Arnaldi M.
Wolf J.
26772
Arnaldi M.
63641

J J Wolf defeated Matteo Arnaldi 2-6 6-3 7-6 in the Shanghai Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. J J Wolf claimed a first win over Matteo Arnaldi in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-27BeijingR32hardMatteo Arnaldi6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Wolf J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Wolf J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Wolf J.Arnaldi M.
Serve
23
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.4
5.8
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (113 vs 194). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
78
Break points saved·Even
93
97
Break points won·Even
49
51
Deciding sets·Clear edge
66
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
60
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.9
Surface form
7.1
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
2.7
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
94

Wolf J.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Arnaldi M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 51%