Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniel EvansShanghai Masters Round of 32

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
#385ATP
1588ELO
1562Hard ELO
36 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLLL
Alcaraz C.
7-6 6-4
Evans D.
Alcaraz C.
7762
Evans D.
6140

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Daniel Evans 7-6 6-4 in the Shanghai Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-28US OpenR32hardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-3 4-6 6-3
2023-04-17BarcelonaSFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-2
2021-10-25ViennaR32hardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Evans D.

Evans D.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Evans D.
74
Serve
95
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.2
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
73
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Dominant
99
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+526 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1562
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1588
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.6
Surface form
5.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
7.5
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Evans D.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 51%