Aleksandar Vukic vs Brandon NakashimaBeijing Qualifying Round 1

Beijing · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#113ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 27 September 2023
hard
#32ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Vukic A.
6-4 6-4
Nakashima B.
Vukic A.
662
Nakashima B.
440

Aleksandar Vukic defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-4 6-4 in the Beijing qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #32, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Aleksandar Vukic narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Aleksandar Vukic edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-31WashingtonR64hardBrandon Nakashima7-6(5) 7-6(9)
2023-06-26EastbourneR32grassAleksandar Vukic6-7(5) 7-6(3) 7-6(5)
2021-06-28WimbledonQ1grassBrandon Nakashima6-1 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Vukic A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Vukic A.Nakashima B.
21
Serve
61
7
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
68%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Even
8.4
8.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
58
56
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Even
16
13
Deciding sets·Slight edge
72
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
80
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1597
Surface ELO
7.4+190 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1839
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.4
Surface form
3.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
9.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
88

Vukic A.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Nakashima B.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 30%