Jannik Sinner vs Grigor DimitrovBeijing Quarter-final

Beijing · ATP · Quarter-final
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 27 September 2023
hard
#146ATP
1744ELO
1736Hard ELO
$307kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Sinner J.
6-4 3-6 6-2
Dimitrov G.
Sinner J.
6362
Dimitrov G.
4621

Jannik Sinner defeated Grigor Dimitrov 6-4 3-6 6-2 in the Beijing quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Jannik Sinner closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 6–2.

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR16grassJannik Sinner3-6 5-7 2-2 RET
2024-05-27Roland GarrosQFclayJannik Sinner6-2 6-4 7-6(3)
2024-03-18Miami MastersFhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-1
2023-03-20Miami MastersR32hardJannik Sinner6-3 6-4
2020-09-14Rome MastersR16clayGrigor Dimitrov4-6 6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Dimitrov G.

Dimitrov G.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Dimitrov G.
100
Serve
100
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
78%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
52%
Service points won·Even
71%
68%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
73%
64%
Aces / match·Even
7.4
7.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 167). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
87
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
100
66
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 44 days (−0.7)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+528 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1736
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1744
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.8
Surface form
5.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.2
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.8
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
53
59

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d) · Dimitrov G.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 30%