Veronika Kudermetova vs Iga SwiatekTokyo Quarter-final

Tokyo · WTA · Quarter-final
#125WTA
1836ELO
1786Hard ELO
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 25 September 2023
hard
#8WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Kudermetova V.
6-2 2-6 6-4
Swiatek I.
Kudermetova V.
6262
Swiatek I.
2641

Veronika Kudermetova defeated Iga Swiatek 6-2 2-6 6-4 in the Tokyo quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Veronika Kudermetova claimed a first win over Iga Swiatek in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-04-24MadridSFclayIga Swiatek6-1 6-1
2023-02-13DohaSFhardIga Swiatek6-0 6-1
2021-10-06Indian WellsR32hardIga Swiatek6-1 6-0
2020-08-31US OpenR128hardIga Swiatek6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Kudermetova V.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Kudermetova V.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kudermetova V.Swiatek I.
67
Serve
67
24
Return
98

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
2.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (158 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
85
100
Break points saved·Clear edge
85
98
Break points won·Clear edge
85
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
99
Tiebreaks·Even
96
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
2.0Hard Elo 1786
Surface ELO
8.0+236 Hard Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1836
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 2064
0.0
H2H
10.0
3.4
Surface form
7.4
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Swiatek I.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 49%