Veronika Kudermetova vs Jessica PegulaTokyo Final

Tokyo · WTA · Final
#115WTA
1836ELO
1786Hard ELO
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 September 2023
hard
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Kudermetova V.
7-5 6-1
Pegula J.
Kudermetova V.
762
Pegula J.
510

Veronika Kudermetova defeated Jessica Pegula 7-5 6-1 in the Tokyo final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4. Veronika Kudermetova extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Veronika Kudermetova came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-25BeijingR32hardJessica Pegula6-7(9) 6-1 6-2
2023-04-24MadridQFclayVeronika Kudermetova6-4 0-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Kudermetova V.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Kudermetova V.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kudermetova V.Pegula J.
67
Serve
68
24
Return
73

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
3.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (158 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
85
96
Break points saved·Slight edge
85
96
Break points won·Clear edge
85
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
100
Tiebreaks·Even
96
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
1.6Hard Elo 1786
Surface ELO
8.4+272 Hard Elo edge
1.7Overall Elo 1836
ELO gap
8.3Overall Elo 2097
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
7.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
63

Pegula J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 49%