Daria Kasatkina vs Despina PapamichailTokyo Round of 16

Tokyo · WTA · Round of 16
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 September 2023
hard
#167WTA
1475ELO
1404Hard ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Kasatkina D.
6-4 6-4
Papamichail D.
Kasatkina D.
662
Papamichail D.
440

Daria Kasatkina defeated Despina Papamichail 6-4 6-4 in the Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #63.

Key context

  • Match story: Daria Kasatkina edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Papamichail D.

Papamichail D.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Papamichail D.
0
Serve
95
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
70%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Service points won·Even
54%
55%
Return points won·Even
48%
47%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (184 vs 167). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
34
Break points saved·Dominant
80
16
Break points won·Slight edge
100
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
59
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
47
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.6+353 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.4Hard Elo 1404
9.3Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
2.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.8
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
100

Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Papamichail D.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 49%