Jessica Pegula vs Cristina BucsaTokyo Round of 16

Tokyo · WTA · Round of 16
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 September 2023
hard
#35WTA
1722ELO
1710Hard ELO
$900kYTD
$5.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWWWW
Pegula J.
6-1 6-2
Bucsa C.
Pegula J.
662
Bucsa C.
120

Jessica Pegula defeated Cristina Bucsa 6-1 6-2 in the Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-03WimbledonR64grassJessica Pegula6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Bucsa C.

Bucsa C.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Bucsa C.
68
Serve
22
73
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 193). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
60
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
79
Break points won·Slight edge
99
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
68
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
27

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.2+348 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.8Hard Elo 1710
9.3Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1722
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.9
Surface form
4.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.8
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
72

Pegula J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 49%