Sebastian Ofner vs Alexander Bublik — Astana Round of 16

Astana · ATP · Round of 16
AUT
Sebastian Ofner
#112ATP
1703ELO
1649Hard ELO
$223kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 September 2023
hard
KAZ
Alexander Bublik
[3]
#10ATP
1920ELO
1852Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLLW

Sebastian Ofner defeated Alexander Bublik 6-4 6-2 in the Astana round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Sebastian Ofner claimed a first win over Alexander Bublik in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ofner S.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Bublik A.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1649
Surface ELO
7.5+203 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1703
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1920
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.4
Surface form
2.5
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Ofner S.
662
Bublik A.
420

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-02-12New YorkQ1hardAlexander Bublik7-5 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Ofner S.Bublik A.
57%1st serve in+7%64%
75%1st serve points won75%
51%2nd serve points won+1%52%
65%Service points won+2%67%
40%Return points won+7%33%
67%Break points saved+2%65%
6.3Aces / match+3.49.7
2.5Double faults / match+0.73.2

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Mannarino A.[6]
Korda S.[5]
4-66-36-2
Semi-finals
Mannarino A.[6]
Ofner S.
6-46-2
Korda S.[5]
Medjedovic H.
6-787-627-63
Quarter-finals
Korda S.[5]
Griekspoor T.[1]
6-44-66-3
Medjedovic H.
Lehecka J.[4]
6-36-4
Ofner S.
Thiem D.
5-76-46-2
Mannarino A.[6]
Rodionov J.
6-17-66
R16
Rodionov J.
Baez S.[2]
6-26-4
Korda S.[5]
Borges N.
6-47-64
Lehecka J.[4]
Gerasimov E.
6-27-63
Medjedovic H.
Shevchenko A.
6-46-4
Mannarino A.[6]
Kachmazov A.
6-25-76-3
Griekspoor T.[1]
Shimabukuro S.
7-656-746-1
Thiem D.
Giron M.
6-34-67-62
Ofner S.
Bublik A.[3]
6-46-2
R32
Giron M.
Wawrinka S.[8]
6-767-647-66
Mannarino A.[6]
Rinderknech A.
7-646-2
Medjedovic H.
Djere L.[7]
6-32-1
Shevchenko A.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-46-3
Korda S.[5]
Popyrin A.
7-656-746-4
Rodionov J.
Barrere G.
2-66-47-65
Thiem D.
Varillas J.
6-37-68
Gerasimov E.
Zapata Miralles B.
7-656-3
Ofner S.
Fucsovics M.
2-66-26-3
Kachmazov A.
Moutet C.
6-37-65
Borges N.
Kukushkin M.
5-77-666-4
Shimabukuro S.
Carballes Baena R.
6-26-4