Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Liudmila SamsonovaTokyo Round of 16

Tokyo · WTA · Round of 16
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 September 2023
hard
#41WTA
1775ELO
1723Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLL
Alexandrova E.
6-4 6-2
Samsonova L.
Alexandrova E.
662
Samsonova L.
420

Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Liudmila Samsonova 6-4 6-2 in the Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Ekaterina Alexandrova came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Ekaterina Alexandrova extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-14StuttgartR32clayEkaterina Alexandrova6-3 6-3
2024-06-10s HertogenboschSFgrassLiudmila Samsonova6-3 6-7(1) 6-1
2023-06-19BerlinR32grassEkaterina Alexandrova6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Alexandrova E.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Samsonova L.

Samsonova L.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alexandrova E.Samsonova L.
52
Serve
38
42
Return
5

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
59%
57%
Aces / match·Even
5.0
4.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.2
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (191 vs 174). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
65
69
Break points saved·Even
94
93
Break points won·Even
98
94
Deciding sets·Even
61
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
29
55

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.8+77 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1723
5.6Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1775
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
6.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
83

Alexandrova E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Samsonova L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 49%