Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaTokyo Quarter-final

Tokyo · WTA · Quarter-final
#128WTA
1775ELO
1742Hard ELO
35 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 September 2023
hard
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-2 7-5
Alexandrova E.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
672
Alexandrova E.
250

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-2 7-5 in the Tokyo quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ekaterina Alexandrova came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova claimed a first win over Ekaterina Alexandrova in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-18MiamiR32hardEkaterina Alexandrova6-4 3-6 6-3
2018-10-08LinzQFhardEkaterina Alexandrova6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Pavlyuchenkova A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Alexandrova E.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Pavlyuchenkova A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pavlyuchenkova A.Alexandrova E.
Serve
52
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
57%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.2
5.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.5
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (110 vs 191). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
85
65
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
94
Break points won·Slight edge
91
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
86
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1742
Surface ELO
5.8+58 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1775
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1844
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.0
Surface form
5.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.5
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Alexandrova E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 49%