Roman Safiullin vs Brandon NakashimaChengdu Round of 32

Chengdu · ATP · Round of 32
#132ATP
1750ELO
1704Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 20 September 2023
hard
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Safiullin R.
6-4 6-4
Nakashima B.
Safiullin R.
662
Nakashima B.
440

Roman Safiullin defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-4 6-4 in the Chengdu round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31.

Key context

  • Match story: Roman Safiullin edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Safiullin R.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Safiullin R.Nakashima B.
Serve
61
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.2
8.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (180 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
68
56
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
44
13
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
78
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 30 days (−0.3)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 30 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1704
Surface ELO
5.7+84 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1750
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1839
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.1
Surface form
4.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
84

Safiullin R.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d) · Nakashima B.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast