Karen Khachanov vs Mackenzie McdonaldZhuhai Quarter-final

Zhuhai · ATP · Quarter-final
#26ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 20 September 2023
hard
#140ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Khachanov K.
4-6 6-4 6-4
Mcdonald M.
Khachanov K.
4662
Mcdonald M.
6441

Karen Khachanov defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 4-6 6-4 6-4 in the Zhuhai quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Karen Khachanov came in ranked #26, leading the head-to-head 5–0. Karen Khachanov extended the head-to-head to 6–0.

Key context

Head to head

50
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR128grassKaren Khachanov7-5 6-4 6-4
2025-06-09s HertogenboschR16grassKaren Khachanov6-3 5-7 7-6(4)
2022-02-14DohaR32hardKaren Khachanov7-6(3) 6-3
2021-06-28WimbledonR128grassKaren Khachanov3-6 6-3 6-4 7-6(3)
2021-03-08MarseilleR16hardKaren Khachanov7-6(4) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Khachanov K.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Khachanov K.Mcdonald M.
61
Serve
25
39
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.3
4.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
56
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Clear edge
81
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
82
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 114 days (−1.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+179 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1604
7.4Overall Elo 1828
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1606
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.9
Surface form
5.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
92

Khachanov K.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Mcdonald M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast