Taro Daniel vs Aleksandar Vukic — Chengdu Round of 32

Chengdu · ATP · Round of 32
Taro Daniel
JPN
Taro Daniel
#203ATP
1567ELO
1512Hard ELO
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 20 September 2023
hard
Aleksandar Vukic
AUS8
Aleksandar Vukic
#104ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLW
Daniel T.
4-6 6-4 6-2
Vukic A.
Daniel T.
4662
Vukic A.
6421

Taro Daniel defeated Aleksandar Vukic 4-6 6-4 6-2 in the Chengdu round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aleksandar Vukic came in ranked #104. Taro Daniel extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR128clayTaro Daniel6-2 6-7(1) 6-1
2024-01-08AucklandR32hardTaro Daniel7-5 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Daniel T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Vukic A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Daniel T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Daniel T.Vukic A.
—
Serve
21
—
Return
7

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Daniel T.Vukic A.
1st serve in·Even
60%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
8.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Daniel T.Vukic A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
42
58
Break points saved·Even
93
97
Break points won·Clear edge
37
16
Deciding sets·Dominant
16
72
Tiebreaks·Even
81
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Daniel T.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 44 days (−0.7)
Vukic A.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 30 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1512
Surface ELO
6.3+85 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1567
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1630
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Daniel T.Vukic A.
Freshness·Clear edge
72
89

Daniel T.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Vukic A.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Zverev A.[1]
Safiullin R.
6-727-656-3
Semi-finals
Safiullin R.
Musetti L.[2]
6-36-4
Zverev A.[1]
Dimitrov G.[3]
6-37-62
Quarter-finals
Safiullin R.
Thompson J.
7-610-0
Dimitrov G.[3]
Oconnell C.
6-46-1
Zverev A.[1]
Kecmanovic M.[7]
5-77-56-2
Musetti L.[2]
Rinderknech A.
6-36-3
R16
Safiullin R.
Evans D.[4]
6-36-3
Musetti L.[2]
Sekulic P.
7-636-746-0
Kecmanovic M.[7]
Moutet C.
6-26-4
Rinderknech A.
Giron M.
7-626-4
Thompson J.
Lajovic D.
6-17-61
Dimitrov G.[3]
Varillas J.
6-36-4
Zverev A.[1]
Kotov P.
7-654-66-1
Oconnell C.
Daniel T.
7-6106-4
R32
Rinderknech A.
Tu L.
7-657-66
Kecmanovic M.[7]
Lock B.
6-26-3
Sekulic P.
Borges N.
7-55-76-3
Kotov P.
Galan D.
7-57-5
Varillas J.
Cui J.
6-16-3
Daniel T.
Vukic A.[8]
4-66-46-2
Thompson J.
Purcell M.[6]
6-27-68
Lajovic D.
Bergs Z.
6-41-66-3
Safiullin R.
Nakashima B.
6-46-4
Giron M.
Bublik A.[5]
7-666-3
Moutet C.
Mu T.
6-26-2
Oconnell C.
Kachmazov A.
7-636-4