Sofia Kenin vs Jelena OstapenkoGuadalajara Round of 16

Guadalajara · WTA · Round of 16
#105WTA
1694ELO
1659Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 September 2023
hard
#31WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Kenin S.
6-4 7-5
Ostapenko J.
Kenin S.
672
Ostapenko J.
450

Sofia Kenin defeated Jelena Ostapenko 6-4 7-5 in the Guadalajara round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Sofia Kenin narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-02-14DubaiR32hardJelena Ostapenko6-1 6-2
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR128claySofia Kenin6-4 4-6 6-3
2020-02-07Fed Cup QLS R1: USA vs LATRRhardJelena Ostapenko6-3 2-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Kenin S.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Kenin S.

Serve advantage — Ostapenko J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kenin S.Ostapenko J.
13
Serve
10
0
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
43%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
5.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (159 vs 163). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
66
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
92
79
Break points won·Clear edge
85
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
54
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
73
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8Hard Elo 1659
Surface ELO
6.2+136 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1855
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.7
Surface form
4.8
Fatigue & Travel
4.5
Minutes 14d
7.2
0.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
92

Kenin S.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Ostapenko J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw