Lucia Bronzetti vs Moyuka UchijimaGuangzhou Round of 16

Guangzhou · WTA · Round of 16
#139WTA
1622ELO
1551Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 September 2023
hard
#108WTA
1681ELO
1633Hard ELO
24 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLLL
Bronzetti L.
6-3 6-3
Uchijima M.
Bronzetti L.
662
Uchijima M.
330

Lucia Bronzetti defeated Moyuka Uchijima 6-3 6-3 in the Guangzhou round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Moyuka Uchijima came in ranked #108.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bronzetti L.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Uchijima M.

Uchijima M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Bronzetti L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bronzetti L.Uchijima M.
12
Serve
0
14
Return
8

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (194 vs 154). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
71
Break points saved·Slight edge
74
66
Break points won·Slight edge
84
91
Deciding sets·Clear edge
60
78
Tiebreaks·Dominant
48
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1551
Surface ELO
6.9+83 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1681
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
0.7
Surface form
4.3
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.8
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Bronzetti L.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast