Greet Minnen vs Lucia Bronzetti — Guangzhou Quarter-final

Guangzhou · WTA · Quarter-final
Greet Minnen
BEL7
Greet Minnen
#180WTA
1723ELO
1667Hard ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 18 September 2023
hard
Lucia Bronzetti
ITA4
Lucia Bronzetti
#139WTA
1622ELO
1551Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Minnen G.
6-7 6-4 6-1
Bronzetti L.
Minnen G.
68662
Bronzetti L.
710411

Greet Minnen defeated Lucia Bronzetti 6-7 6-4 6-1 in the Guangzhou quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lucia Bronzetti came in ranked #139.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Minnen G.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Bronzetti L.

Bronzetti L.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Minnen G.

Serve advantage — Minnen G.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Minnen G.Bronzetti L.
—
Serve
12
—
Return
14

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Minnen G.Bronzetti L.
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (168 vs 194). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Minnen G.Bronzetti L.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
55
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
74
Break points won·Slight edge
90
84
Deciding sets·Dominant
85
60
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
48

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Minnen G.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 77 days (−1.2)
Bronzetti L.
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.8+116 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1551
6.9Overall Elo 1723
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1622
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.9
Surface form
0.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Minnen G.Bronzetti L.
Freshness·Dominant
65
100

Minnen G.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 86 games (7d) · Bronzetti L.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Wang X.
Linette M.[1]
6-06-2
Semi-finals
Linette M.[1]
Putintseva Y.
6-26-3
Wang X.
Minnen G.[7]
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Minnen G.[7]
Bronzetti L.[4]
6-786-46-1
Linette M.[1]
Masarova R.[5]
7-57-66
Wang X.
Hruncakova V.
6-44-66-3
Putintseva Y.
Maria T.[3]
6-46-766-0
R16
Minnen G.[7]
Dart H.
7-676-756-4
Bronzetti L.[4]
Uchijima M.
6-36-3
Wang X.
Shnaider D.
6-47-5
Maria T.[3]
Bai Z.
6-16-2
Masarova R.[5]
Golubic V.
6-13-67-67
Putintseva Y.
Tauson C.
3-67-65
Linette M.[1]
Saville D.
6-07-60
Hruncakova V.
Yuan Y.
7-655-76-4
R32
Maria T.[3]
Eala A.
6-36-0
Uchijima M.
Ponchet J.
7-53-66-3
Linette M.[1]
Burrage J.
6-736-06-2
Shnaider D.
Liu C.[8]
6-16-3
Wang X.
Podoroska N.
6-36-3
Yuan Y.
Korpatsch T.
6-37-65
Hruncakova V.
Kalinskaya A.
7-643-66-3
Masarova R.[5]
Baindl K.
7-56-2
Saville D.
Friedsam A.
3-66-36-1
Golubic V.
Marino R.
6-46-3
Tauson C.
Fruhvirtova L.[6]
6-27-66
Dart H.
Niemeier J.
6-36-2
Bronzetti L.[4]
Yang Y.
6-16-0
Putintseva Y.
You X.
6-46-0
Bai Z.
Papamichail D.
6-37-5
Minnen G.[7]
Parry D.
6-26-2