Maria Sakkari vs Emiliana ArangoGuadalajara Quarter-final

Guadalajara · WTA · Quarter-final
#43WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 September 2023
hard
#97WTA
1624ELO
1576Hard ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
Sakkari M.
6-3 6-4
Arango E.
Sakkari M.
662
Arango E.
340

Maria Sakkari defeated Emiliana Arango 6-3 6-4 in the Guadalajara quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Maria Sakkari came in ranked #43.

Key context

  • Match story: Maria Sakkari closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sakkari M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Arango E.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sakkari M.Arango E.
24
Serve
0
39
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
53%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.0
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (164 vs 168). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
57
Break points saved·Dominant
94
56
Break points won·Slight edge
87
81
Deciding sets·Slight edge
76
70
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
7.8+220 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1576
7.5Overall Elo 1812
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1624
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
88

Sakkari M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Arango E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw