Emil Ruusuvuori vs Tommy PaulDavis Cup Finals RR: USA vs FIN Round Robin

Davis Cup Finals RR: USA vs FIN · ATP · Round Robin
#787ATP
1606ELO
1577Hard ELO
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 16 September 2023
hard
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Ruusuvuori E.
7-6 6-4
Paul T.
Ruusuvuori E.
7762
Paul T.
6140

Emil Ruusuvuori defeated Tommy Paul 7-6 6-4 in the Davis Cup Finals RR: USA vs FIN round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ruusuvuori E.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Ruusuvuori E.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ruusuvuori E.Paul T.
Serve
71
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Even
63%
64%
Aces / match·Even
5.6
6.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (116 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
72
93
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Dominant
48
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
86
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.3Hard Elo 1577
Surface ELO
8.7+304 Hard Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
9.0Overall Elo 1949
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
5.7
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Paul T.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About